Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.001020 1.162761e-03 0.001306 0.001459 0.001619 0.001780 0.001954
2025-12-28 0.000780 9.826180e-04 0.001193 0.001426 0.001674 0.001929 0.002209
2026-01-04 0.000615 8.621041e-04 0.001128 0.001428 0.001755 0.002095 0.002474
2026-01-11 0.000469 7.464355e-04 0.001055 0.001413 0.001809 0.002228 0.002699
2026-01-18 0.000352 6.489158e-04 0.000993 0.001402 0.001862 0.002354 0.002912
2026-01-25 0.000228 5.264098e-04 0.000892 0.001339 0.001851 0.002405 0.003040
2026-02-01 0.000147 4.436575e-04 0.000829 0.001313 0.001877 0.002494 0.003205
2026-02-08 0.000094 3.877164e-04 0.000793 0.001316 0.001931 0.002611 0.003398
2026-02-15 0.000056 3.448318e-04 0.000770 0.001329 0.001996 0.002737 0.003599
2026-02-22 0.000030 3.131361e-04 0.000758 0.001354 0.002072 0.002873 0.003810
2026-03-01 0.000007 2.655585e-04 0.000719 0.001344 0.002104 0.002959 0.003963
2026-03-08 NaN 2.111287e-04 0.000665 0.001310 0.002107 0.003009 0.004074
2026-03-15 NaN 1.763095e-04 0.000648 0.001338 0.002201 0.003184 0.004349
2026-03-22 NaN 1.199550e-04 0.000588 0.001309 0.002226 0.003281 0.004540
2026-03-29 NaN 8.430904e-05 0.000554 0.001312 0.002291 0.003425 0.004782
2026-04-05 NaN 4.940460e-05 0.000511 0.001299 0.002333 0.003541 0.004994
2026-04-12 NaN 2.344739e-05 0.000472 0.001289 0.002378 0.003659 0.005206
2026-04-19 NaN 8.098211e-07 0.000401 0.001228 0.002356 0.003697 0.005325
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000359 0.001203 0.002379 0.003785 0.005500
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000335 0.001206 0.002434 0.003911 0.005718
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000320 0.001219 0.002502 0.004051 0.005950
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001243 0.002583 0.004206 0.006199
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000285 0.001233 0.002618 0.004305 0.006382